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Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: Q4 fee-related earnings (FRE) rose 17% YoY to $677M ($0.42/sh) and distributable earnings (DE) rose 11% YoY to $649M ($0.40/sh); FRE margin reached 59% as operating leverage kicked in .
  • Capital formation and activity were robust: $29B raised (record organic quarter), $16B deployed, and $9B monetized in Q4; fee-bearing capital (FBC) ended at $539B, up 18% YoY but flat sequentially amid Q4 credit outflows timing and marks .
  • Dividend raised 15% to $0.4375 per share quarterly; corporate structure simplified so BAM now reflects 100% of the asset management business, positioning for broader index inclusion .
  • 2025 setup: management expects stronger fundraising with flagship rounds “over 15% larger,” growing insurance inflows (> $25B/yr), and continued monetizations; AI infrastructure, private credit, and energy transition remain major growth vectors .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record Q4 financials: “record fee-related earnings, distributable earnings and fundraising in the fourth quarter… FRE was $677 million … margins … 59%” .
    • Fundraising momentum: $29B in Q4 across >40 strategies (credit >$20B), with flagships expected to be >15% larger than prior vintages and multiple complementary strategies scaling .
    • Strategic and balance sheet wins: 15% dividend hike; corporate structure swap closed, enabling broader U.S. index eligibility; $1.8B corporate liquidity and capacity to issue up to $5B of IG debt to seed growth .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Sequential FBC plateau: FBC ended Q4 at $539B, flat vs Q3 as credit outflows and fee-on-deployment dynamics offset gross inflows; management explained the “funny” Q4 credit outflow as portfolio optimization at insurance and monetizations preceding deployment .
    • Total revenues declined YoY in Q4 ($1,063M vs $1,130M) as “other revenues, net” normalized vs Q4’23, despite higher management fees and carried interest .
    • Estimates visibility: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable at time of analysis due to data limits, constraining explicit “vs. estimates” comparisons (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Fee-Related Earnings (FRE, $M)$583 $644 $677
Distributable Earnings (DE, $M)$548 $619 $649
FRE per share ($)$0.36 $0.39 $0.42
DE per share ($)$0.34 $0.38 $0.40
FRE Margin (%)58% 59%
Total Revenues ($M)$916 $1,117 $1,063
Net Income attributable to BAM ($M)$495 $544 $688
Diluted Net Income per share ($)$0.30 $0.33 $0.42

Segment activity and fundraising/deployments (Q4 2024):

  • Fundraising by Group (Q4 2024)

    • Renewable Power & Transition: $4.2B (incl. $3.5B for BGTF II)
    • Infrastructure: $2.5B (incl. $700M supercore; ~$700M private wealth)
    • Private Equity: $1.8B (incl. $1.0B Middle East fund; $500M special investments)
    • Real Estate: >$0.7B (incl. ~$0.5B for BSREP V)
    • Credit: ~$20B (incl. $9.2B Oaktree, $6.6B insurance, $1.7B infra debt, ~$0.9B other partner managers)
  • Deployments and Monetizations (Q4 2024)

    • Deployed $16B; notable: $4.5B in transition (incl. $3.2B Neoen), $2.4B in real estate (multifamily, student housing, Tritax), $7.7B in credit .
    • Monetized ~$9B; notable: $1.4B in transition (Saeta Yield, partial Shepherds Flat), $1.8B in real estate (UK shopping centers), and post-Q4 Clarios upfinancing distribution $4.5B .

Key KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Fee-Bearing Capital (FBC, $B)$514 $539 $539
Capital Raised ($B)$68 $21 $29
Capital Deployed ($B)~20 (deployed/committed) ~20 (deployed/committed) $16
Monetizations ($B)>$17 ~$9
Uncalled Commitments ($B)$107 $106 $115
Corporate Liquidity ($B)$1.9 (cash/equivalents) $2.1 (incl. undrawn revolver) $1.8 (incl. $750M revolver)
Quarterly Dividend ($/sh)$0.38 $0.38 $0.4375

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per share (quarterly)Payable Mar 31, 2025$0.38 (declared for Q3’24) $0.4375 (15% increase) Raised
Flagship fund sizes2025Latest flagship rounds expected to be >15% larger than prior vintages Raised outlook
BGTF II (Transition) final closeH1 2025Expect final close in H1 2025 Timeline affirmed
BSREP V (Real Estate) final closeH1 2025Expect final close in H1 2025 Timeline affirmed
Insurance channel inflows2025+Annual inflows on track to >$25B per year New metric articulated
Margins2025Margin improvement underway Expect further margin improvement, driven by revenue growth and operating leverage Positive trajectory

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 and Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
AI/Technology infrastructureQ2: 10.5 GW Microsoft agreement; data center capacity up 4x; positioned across renewables, data centers, semis . Q3: AI infra as core pillar; Intel fab, data centers, fiber; nuclear via Westinghouse .Announced €20B AI infrastructure program in France; see AI demand persisting despite efficiency gains (DeepSeek); focus on contracted builds with hyperscalers .Strengthening opportunity set; scaling multi-faceted solutions.
Private credit expansionQ2: $61B raised in credit (incl. AEL); building insurance/SMA capabilities . Q3: Insurance Solutions building; first $1B 3rd-party SMA; partner managers (Castlelake) .Credit raised >$100B in 2024; Q4 credit inflows ~$20B with fee-on-deploy; focus on IG private credit, origination capacity, capital markets capabilities .Scale channel expanding; revenue realization tied to deployment.
Fundraising momentumQ2: $68B raised; multiple strategies . Q3: $21B raised with broad-based strength .Record Q4 organic $29B; 2025 fundraising expected to exceed 2024; flagships >15% larger .Accelerating into 2025.
Insurance channelQ2: AEL onboarding began; platform build-out . Q3: $4.5B BWS inflows; $1B 3rd-party SMA; targeting $50B in 5 years .Q4 insurance inflows $6.6B; portfolio optimization caused temporary credit outflow optics; expect >$25B/yr inflow trajectory .Growing, with mix shift to private funds over time.
Corporate structure/index inclusionQ3: Announced plan for BAM to reflect 100% of AM business; head office moved to NY .Transaction closed; market cap now reflects full AM business; positions for broader U.S. index inclusion .Milestone achieved; potential passive inflows ahead.
Macro/tariffs/regulatoryLimited cross-border risk; assets are local and demand inelastic; insulated from tariff shocks .Macro views steady and constructive.
Internal AI useEarly but meaningful efficiency gains; sharing use cases across platform; initial focus on cost/productivity .Emerging internal lever.
Margins/expensesQ3: Margins improving; investment ahead of revenues now turning .Q4 margin 59%; comp/benefits down $15M vs Q3; expect continued improvement with growth .Upward trajectory.

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “Powerful secular trends in digitalization, clean energy and private credit… will continue to drive growth” and support the “long-term goal of 15% annual growth in cash flow on a per share basis” .
  • Fundraising outlook: “We expect our latest flagship rounds to be over 15% larger … and 2025 to be better than 2024” .
  • AI opportunity: “We can be leading in this asset class by a significant margin… we don’t build on spec… long-term contracts with large hyperscalers” .
  • Balance sheet/capital: “$1.8B of liquidity… capacity to issue up to $5B of debt at strong investment-grade levels” to fund growth .
  • Dividend and index path: “Declared a quarterly dividend increase of 15% to $0.4375” and closed the swap so the full value of the asset management business is reflected in BAM’s market cap, aiding broader index inclusion .

Q&A Highlights

  • Buyer’s and seller’s market: Management expects the favorable environment for both deployment and monetization to persist through 2025, with robust liquidity and a strong pipeline of asset sales .
  • Investment-grade private credit: Scaling origination; leveraging infrastructure/real estate foundations and Oaktree; internal capital markets capabilities to originate/syndicate .
  • Private wealth channel: Raised ~$20B to date; turning down capital in some wealth products to maintain disciplined deployment; 30–50% growth outlook remains intact .
  • Q4 credit outflows explained: Insurance portfolio optimization and monetizations caused FBC optics; fee realization awaits deployment; expect deployment of not-yet-fee-bearing capital to be a lever for FRE .
  • AI/data centers (France program): Multi-faceted solutions across equity and debt; supply-demand remains favorable even with efficiency gains; build only against long-term contracts .
  • Margins/expenses: Margin improvements driven by revenues and operating leverage should continue; cost growth plateauing relative to revenue .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue, but the data service returned a “Daily Request Limit Exceeded,” so explicit “vs. consensus” comparisons are unavailable at this time [GetEstimates error].
  • Where consensus drives positioning or model updates, we recommend refreshing S&P Global consensus to compare against: FRE ($677M), DE ($649M), diluted EPS ($0.42), and total revenues ($1,063M) from BAM’s reported results .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The quarter validated BAM’s high-operating-leverage model: record FRE/DE with a 59% margin, strong organic fundraising, and a 15% dividend hike signal durable earnings power into 2025 .
  • Fundraising momentum looks set to accelerate (flagships >15% larger), while insurance (> $25B/yr) and private wealth channels deepen the capital base; deployment should convert large not-yet-fee-bearing credit AUM into fees .
  • Secular tailwinds (AI infrastructure, energy transition, private credit) plus BAM’s scale and multi-asset capabilities underpin differentiated access to large, contracted opportunities (e.g., France AI program) .
  • Corporate structure simplification (100% of AM reflected in BAM) increases eligibility for U.S. indices, creating a potential technical bid as passive ownership rises .
  • Watch list near term: deployment pace (to activate fee-on-deploy credit), monetization cadence (to recycle capital and support fundraising), and margin progression as incremental revenues flow through .
  • Risk checks: sequential FBC flatness and revenue mix (“other revenues” normalization) are manageable given pipeline, but they highlight the importance of timely deployment and stable performance fees .
  • Catalysts: final closes for BGTF II and BSREP V (H1’25), launch/scale of complementary strategies, potential index inclusion events, and additional AI-infrastructure partnerships .

Notes: All financial and operational figures are per company materials cited. S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of analysis due to a data access limit, so “vs. estimates” comparisons are not included.